Thursday, September 25, 2014

NFL Vigoal/MyGuy Week 4


Here is the Sunday/Monday prediction report. Most scores are based off Bleacher Report and Las Vegas projections and I list the top players QB (for passing questions) RB (for rushing questions) and WR (for receiving questions). If I feel strongly about a player, I will bold them.
  • I answer "NO" to the 2-pt conversion and missed FG question. These are events that are least likely to happen. 
  • Most times I answer "NO" to the interception question even though this is an event that is more 50-50. 
  • I will most likely choose that a team will have more PASSING YARDS because passing plays are usually longer than rushing plays.

MONDAY NIGHT
Kansas City vs New England

Bleacher Report: KC 21 NE 20
Vegas: NE 27 KC 24
Me: Chiefs 30 Patriots 17

Chiefs:
QB: Alex Smith
RB: Jamaal Charles, Kniles Davis
WR: Dwayne Bowe, Donnie Avery
Patriots:
QB: Tom Brady
RB: Steven Ridley, Shane Vereen
WR: Brandon Lloyd, Danny Amendola

-- I went totally off the rails with this call. Just going with my gut. The Chiefs are at home and I think Jamaal Charles will be running....even though he's kind of hurt. I would not trust any receiver for either team. I think both teams will have more passing yards, more rushing attempts. If you have to choose a receiver, go Avery, Lloyd, Amendola, then Bowe. Again, gut call says Charles, Vereen, Ridley. I'm going against all the stats and going w/ my heart. 

San Diego vs Jacksonville

BR: Chargers 35 Jaguars 17
Vegas: Chargers 27 Jaguars 14
Me: Chargers 35 Jaguars 6

Chargers
QB: Philip Rivers
RB: Donald Brown
WR: Keenen Allen, Malcom Floyd
Jaguars
QB: Blake Bortles
RB: Toby Gerhart
WR: Allen Hurns, Allen Robinson
-- The Jaguars are...incredibly bad. Awful. I would stick with ALL the Chargers to start off with. Chargers will rush more but get more pass yards.

San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles

BR: Eagles 34 49ers 31
Vegas: 49ers 27 Eagles 21
Me: Eagles 27 49ers 24

49ers
QB: Colin Kaepernick
RB: Frank Gore, Carlos Hyde
WR: Micheal Crabtree, Anquan Boldon, Stevie Johnson
Eagles:
QB Nick Foles
RB: Lesean McCoy
WR: Jeremy Maclin, Jordin Matthews
-- I have no idea who is going to win this game. So.... flip a coin haha. Both teams rush and pass evenly. I would say they get more pass yards and rush more than pass.

Atlanta vs Minnesota

BR: Falcons 27 Vikings 17
Vegas: Falcons 26 Viking 23
Me: Falcons 24 Vikings 16

Falcons
QB: Matt Ryan
RB: Steven Jackson
WR: Julio Jones, Roddy White
Vikings
QB: Teddy Bridgewater
RB: Matt Asiata
WR: Cordelle Patterson, Greg Jennings.

-- Can the Falcons score 56 again?....maybe not. Um...both teams will want to rush more, but will get more passing yards.

Sunday Night Game
New Orleans vs Dallas

BR: Saints 35 Cowboys 31
Vegas: Saints 29 Cowboys 26
ME: Cowboys 37 Saints 31

Saints
QB: Drew Brees
RB: Khiry Robinson, Pierre Thomas
WR: Marques Colston, Brandin Cooks
Cowboys
QB: Tony Romo
RB: Demarco Murray
WR: Dez Bryant, Terrance Williams

-- I am a Cowboys fan, so maybe this is wishful thinking. I think all the offense will be good. Cowboys rush more, Saints pass more, but I think they will both have to pass and they will both get more passing yards.

Miami vs Oakland (IN LONDON)

Bleacher Report: Miami 20 Oakland 17
Vegas: Miami 21 Oakland 17
Me: Miami 17 Oakland 14

Dolphins
QB: Ryan Tannehill
RB: Lamar Miller
WR: Mike Wallace, Rishard Matthews
Raiders
QB: Derek Carr
RB: Maurice Jones Drew (possibly injured), Darren McFadden
WR: James Jones
-- This game is played in rainy London. I suspect if it's bad weather they will rush more. Both QBs are not that good regardless. Lamar Miller ran for over 100 yards last week so he'll probably asked to do more of that. If Maurice Jones Drew is still injured, Darren McFadden will run instead. I like Mike Wallce just a tad better than James Jones to catch a TD early.




Green Bay vs Chicago

BR: Green Bay Packers 20 Chicago Bears 20
Vegas: Packers 27 Bears 24
Me: Packers 30 Bears 27

Packers
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: Eddie Lacy
WR: Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Jarrett Boykin
Bears
QB: Jay Cutler
RB: Matt Forte
WR: Brandon Marshall (possibly injured), Alshon Jeffrey

-- Should be a good fun division rivalry game. Rodgers is better than Cutler. Forte is slightly better than Lacy. For receiving yards? I rank them as Nelson, Jeffrey, Marshall, Cobb. For receiving TDs? Marshall, Cobb, Nelson, Jeffrey. Both teams will probably throw more than run.

Houston vs Buffalo

BR: Buffalo Bills 17 Houston Texans 10
Vegas: Texans 24 Bills 21
Me: Texans 21 Bills 17

Texans
QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick
RB: Arian Foster (possibly injured), Alfred Blue
WR: Andre Johnson, Deandre Hopkins
Bills
QB: EJ Emmanuel
RB: CJ Spiller, Fred Jackson
WR: Sammy Watkins, Robert Woods
-- One of those games where I think both teams will RUSH for more yards than pass. QBs are mediocre and the RBs are really good. Foster is hurt so keep an eye on that injury. If Foster is hurt, I think the Bills win, if not Texans win.

Indianapolis vs Tennessee

BR: Indianapolis Colts 28 Tennessee Titans 14
Vegas: Colts 24 Titans 17
Me: Colts 27 Titans 13

Colts
QB: Andrew Luck
RB: Ahmad Bradshaw, Trent Richardson
WR: TY Hilton, Reggie Wayne, Hakeem Nicks
Titans
QB: Jake Locker (possibly injured), Charlie Whitehurst
RB: Shone Green, Dexter McCluster, Bishop Sankey
WR: Kendall Wright, Justin Hunter

-- I don't feel comfortable with any Titan because they're not as good as the Colts. But it's the NFL so you just never know. Any Given Sunday, yada yada yada, I mentioned the bisque.

Baltimore vs Carolina

BR: Carolina Panthers 24 Baltimore Ravens 21
Vegas: Baltimore 21 Carolina 17
ME: Panthers 20 Ravens 16

Panthers
QB: Cam Newton
RB: DeAngelo Williams
WR: Kelvin Benjamin
Ravens
QB: Joe Flacco
RB: Bernard Pierce (possibly injured), Justin Forsett
WR: Steve Smith, Torrie Smith
-- This game will probably be boring...except for one thing. STEVE SMITH faces his former team, and he's probably mad. I think Steve will score a touchdown, or have a good game with a lot of yards. After that, it's all a coin flip.

Detroit vs New York Jets

BR: Detroit Lions 28 NY Jets 17
Vegas: Detroit 27 NY 24
Me: Lions 24 Jets 20

Lions
QB: Matthew Stafford
RB: Reggie Bush, Joquie Bell
WR: Calvin Johnson (possibly injured), Golden Tate
Jets
QB: Geno Smith
RB: Chris Ivory, Chris Johnson
WR: Eric Decker (possibly injured), Jeremy Kerley
-- Don't expect too much rushing from the Lions. The Jets have a good run defense. Calvin is hurt, I think he plays, and if he does, he should be in for a big day.

Pittsburgh vs Tamp Bay

BR: Pittsburgh Steelers 28 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20
Vegas: Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 17
Me: Steelers 27 Tampa Bay 16

Steelers
QB: Ben Roeslithsberger
RB: Leveon Bell
WR: Antonio Brown, Markus Wheaton
Buccaneers
QB: Mike Glennon
RB: Doug Martin, Bobby Rainey
WR: Vincent Jackson, Mike James
-- The Bucs have been really bad this year. The Steelers rush more than they pass. The Bucs should be able to run more, but as aforementioned, they have been bad so who knows really.


Giants vs Redskins
Bleacher Report: Redskins 23, Giants 13
Vegas: Redskins 20, Giants 17

Washington Redskins
QB: Kirk Cousins (Robert Griffin III is injured and out)
RB: Alfred Morris
WR: Pierre Garcon, Desean Jackson

NY Giants:
QB: Eli Manning
RB: Rashad Jennings
WR: Victor Cruz, Reuben Randle

-- Both teams are 1-2. Defenses aren't very good. This could be a good running day for both running backs. I like RASHAD JENNINGS just slightly better than ALFRED MORRIS. Basically meaning in the first quarter I'll go Jennings, but after that all bets are off. Two Trends for Thursday night NFL. WRs and QBs are generally not as good, but the defenses are so bad, one of these guys might break loose. The Giants are on the road. and in the first three Thursday games, the road team has lost by AT LEAST 20 points. I'll stick with the rushers, if I have to choose a WR I'll go Garcon, Cruz, Jackson in that order.

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