Thursday, September 18, 2014

NFL ViGoal/MyGuy Week 3

Here is the Sunday/Monday prediction report. Most scores are based off Bleacher Report and Las Vegas projections and I list the top players QB (for passing questions) RB (for rushing questions) and WR (for receiving questions). If I feel strongly about a player, I will bold them.
  • I answer "NO" to the 2-pt conversion and missed FG question. These are events that are least likely to happen. 
  • Most times I answer "NO" to the interception question even though this is an event that is more 50-50. 
  • I will most likely choose that a team will have more PASSING YARDS because passing plays are usually longer than rushing plays.

MONDAY NIGHT GAME
Bears Vs Jets

Yahoo: Bears 24 Jets 23
Vegas: Jets to win by 3. Jets 20 Bears 17
Me: Jets 23 Bears 19

Chicago Bears
QB: Jay Cutler
RB: Matt Forte
WR: Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffrey
NY Jets
QB: Geno Smith, Michael Vick
RB: Chris Ivory, Chris Johnson
WR: Eric Decker
-- The Bears got a good come from behind victory last week. Both teams are subpar, but the Bears have better offensive weapons. Alshon Jeffrey and Eric Decker are both sporting injuries so they may not be healthy all game. Jets have a good run defense so the Bears might be forced to pass more more. Jets are primarily a rushing team.




49ers vs Cardinals
Bleacher Report: 49ers 22 Cardinals 21
Vegas: 49ers 24 Cardinals 21
Me: 49ers 27 Cardinals 10

49ers
QB: Colin Kaepernick
RB: Frank Gore, Carlos Hyde
WR: Micheal Crabtree, Anquan Boldin
Arizona Cardinals
QB: Drew Stanton
RB: Andre Ellington
WR: Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd

-- Cardinals are missing their QB. 49ers will have production from their stars, who knows where it will come from with Arizona. Both teams rush a little more than pass. Ellington and Gore are the most talented RBs.

Broncos vs Seahawks
BR: Seahawks 26 Broncos 24
Vegas: Seahawks 28 Broncos 24
Me: Seahawks 24 Broncos 21

Denver Broncos:
QB: Peyton Manning
RB: Montee Ball
WR: Demaryius Thomas, Emmanual Sanders, Wes Welker
Seattle Seahawks
QB: Russel Wilson
RB: Marshan Lynch
WR: Percy Harvin

-- Superbowl Rematch. Seahawks defense still looks good, but the Denver offense also looks good. Broncos throw a little more than run. Seahawks are more of a rushing team.

Chiefs vs Dolphins
BR: Dolphins 24 Chiefs 14
Vegas: Dolphins 21 Chiefs 17
Me: Chiefs 17 Dolphins 10

KC Chiefs
QB: Alex Smith
RB: Knile Davis
WR: Dwayne Bowe
Miami Dolphins
QB: Ryan Tannehill
RB: Lamar Miller
WR: Mike Wallace

-- Jamaal Charles and Knowshon Moreno are both hurt. Both teams will probably rush more than pass.
Redskins vs Eagles
Bleacher Report: Eagles 31 Redskins 21
Vegas: Eagles 27 Redskins 23
Philadelphia Eagles
QB: Nick Foles
RB: Lesean Mccoy, Darrin Sproles
WR: Jeremy Maclin, Riley Cooper
Washington Redskins
QB: Kirk Cousins
RB: Alfred Morris
WR: Desean Jackson, Pierre Garcon
-- Wash. lost their QB, Robert Griffin. Cousins should be good because some people think he is better than RG3. But only time will tell if he clicks with the offense. Redskins will want to run the ball. This is a "revenge" game for Desean Jackson because he used to play for the Eagles. Foles should be good for Philly as will Lesean Mccoy.

Chargers vs Bills
Bleacher Report: Chargers 24 Bills 20
Vegas: Chargers 24 Bills 21
San Diego Chargers:
QB: Philip Rivers
RB: Donald Brown, Danny Woodhead
WR: Keenen Allen, Malcom Floyd
Buffalo Bills
QB: EJ Emanual
RB: CJ Spiller, Fred Jackson
WR: Sammy Watkins
-- San Diego should be better, but they are traveling cross country. Teams that do that don't tend to play well. Chargers are more pass heavy, Bills rush heavy.

Cowboys vs Rams
BR: Cowboys 22 Rams 17
Vegas: Cowboys 23 Rams 21

Dallas Cowboys
QB: Tony Romo
RB: Demarcco Murray
WR: Dez Bryant
St. Louis Rams
QB: Austin Davis
RB: Zac Stacy
WR: Brian Quick
-- The Cowboys are a slight favorite to win. All the Cowboys players (Romo, Murray, Bryant) should be better bets than the Rams players unless the Rams hold down the Cowboys the whole game. Cowboys are 60% rushing 40% passing.

Packers vs Lions
BR: Packers 23 Lions 21
Vegas: Lions 27 Packers 24

Green Bay Packers:
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: Eddy Lacy
WR: Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb
Detroit Lions
QB: Matthew Stafford
RB: Reggie Bush, Joquie Bell
WR: Calvin Johnson
-- Watch for Calvin Johnson to have a HUGE game. Cobb is more likely to get the TD and Nelson more yards. Both teams are passing teams.

Texans vs Giants
BR: Texans 24 Giants 20
Vegas: Giants 21 Texans 20

Houston Texans:
QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick
RB: Alfred Blue (ARIAN FOSTER INJURED, WILL NOT PLAY)
WR: Andre Johnson, Deandre Hopkins
NY Giants
QB: Eli Manning
RB: Rashad Jennings
WR: Victor Cruz, Rueben Randle

--Arian Foster is not playing today, so now everyone thinks the Giants will win. I still have faith in the Texans but it's a lot closer now. Look for Alfred Blue to get a lot of rushes. Eli is better than Fitzpatrick. I like Andre Johnson and Rashad Jennings too.

Vikings vs Saints
BR: Saints 30 Vikings 17
Vegas: Saints 31 Vikings 20

NO Saints
QB: Drew Brees
RB: Khiry Robinson, Pierre Thomas
WR: Marques Colston, Brandin Cooks
Minnesota Viings
QB: Matt Cassel
RB: Matt Asiata
WR: Cordelle Patterson, Greg Jennings

-- Saints are at home and are VERY good when they play at home. Saints are a big passing team. Later in the game if they get up by more than two touchdowns they'll rush the ball more. I like Cooks a little bit better than Colston.

Titans vs Bengals
BR: Bengals 22 Titans 17
Vegas: Bengals 24 Titans 17

Cincinnati Bengals
QB: Andy Dalton
RB: Giovani Bernard
WR: AJ Green
Tennessee Titans
QB: Jake Locker
RB: Shone Greene
WR: Kendall Wright, Justin Hunter

-- AJ Green got hurt last week, but he's playing this week and should be gooooood. Giovani Bernard is much better than Shon Greene. I feel like the Bengals will pass slightly more than rush.

Colts vs Jaguars
BR: Colts 27 Jaguars 10
Vegas: Colts 24 Jaguars 17
Me: Colts 31 Jaguars 13

Indianapolis Colts
QB: Andrew Luck
RB: Ahmad Bradshaw, Trent Richardson
WR: Reggie Wayne, TY Hilton
Jacksonville Jaguars
QB: Chad Henne
RB: Toby Gerhart
WR: Cecil Shorts, Alan Hurns

-- Jacksonville looks awful. Stick with the Colts players. Colts are more of a passing team, if they get up by a lot, they'll rush more later in the game.

Raiders vs Patriots
BR: Patriots 28 Raiders 9
Vegas: Patriots 30 Raiders 14
Me: Patriots 31 Raiders 10

New England Patriots
QB: Tom Brady
RB: Steven Ridley, Shane Vereen
WR: Julian Edelman, Aaron Dobson
Oakland Raiders
QB: Derek Carr
RB: Darren McFadden
WR: James Jones

-- Use the Patriots, Raiders are bad. Patriots might be 50/50 rush/pass this game.

Ravens vs Browns
BR: Ravens 26 Browns 17
Vegas: Ravens 23 Browns 21
Me: Browns 21 Ravens 20

Baltimore Ravens
QB: Joe Flacco
RB: Bernard Pierce
WR: Steve Smith, Torrey Smith
Cleveland Browns
QB: Brian Hoyer
RB: Terrance West
WR: Andrew Hawkins

-- I like Steve Smith and Terrance West in this game. Both teams rush the ball slightly more than passing.

Bleacher Report thinks Falcons beats the Bucs 24-13
Vegas thinks it will be the Falcons over the Bucs 24-17 (They have the Falcons favored by 6.5 points w/ an over/under of 45.)

I am going to say..... Falcons 30 Bucs 14.
QB: Atl-Matt Ryan, TB- Josh McCown
RB: Atl- Steven Jackson TB- Bobby Rainey
WR: Atl- Julio Jones TB- Vincent Jackson, Mike James

Falcons are usually good at home. Matt Ryan had a bad game last week....he might step it up because of his poor performance in his last game and because he plays better at home. Doug Martin is injured so the Tampa Bay running back is Bobby Rainey. He had a good game last week and should continue to be good because Atlanta's defense is not that great. Julio Jones and Vincent Jackson are the most likely candidates to score. Julio Jones is definitely the best receiver on the field.

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