Thursday, December 10, 2015

Vigoal/MyGuy Football Help Week 14 (Twitter @HuuMyGuy)

Here is the Sunday/Monday prediction report. Most scores are based off Bleacher Report and Las Vegas projections and I list the top players QB (for passing questions) RB (for rushing questions) and WR (for receiving questions). I try to update this as the day goes along.
  • I answer "NO" to the 2-pt conversion and missed FG question. These are events that are least likely to happen. 
  • Most times I answer "NO" to the interception question even though this is an event that is more 50-50. 
  • I will most likely choose that a team will have more PASSING YARDS because passing plays are usually longer than rushing plays.
  • If a player has an asterisk (*) next to their name, they are somewhat injured. So injured that it may affect their ability and they might not play the whole game
  • The number next to the player's names are ranks. 4=Excellent choice 3=Very Good Choice 2=Okay Choice 1=So you're saying there's a chance.
  • If you're viewing this through @ViggleTips, you may want to check back later for the afternoon and night games. I usually start with the morning and update my predictions and players as it gets closer to game time. I will tweet out updates @HuuMyGuy on twitter. 
  • NEW!!! According to SportingCharts. The most popular score between 2002-2011 was 23-20. Second was 20-17 and third was 24-17. Most my predictions will be in this area. (Interestingly, we had TWO 23-20 in week 8, I even predicted the right game, but inverted the scores. Week 12, my 23-20 score came to fruition, so...yay)

SUNDAY AFTERNOON
Oakland Raiders vs Denver Broncos
Vegas: Den 25 Oak 19
Me: Den 24 Oak 17

Oakland
QB: Derek Carr 2
RB: Latavius Murray 2.5
WR: Amari Cooper 3, Michael Crabtree 2, Michal Rivera 1
Attempts: Pass
Yard: Pass
Denver
QB: Peyton Manning 3
RB: CJ Anderson 2, Ronnie Hillman 2.5
WR: Demaryius Thomas 4, Emmanuel Sanders 3,  Owen Daniels 3, Cody Latimer 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers
Vegas: GB 24 Dal 18
Me: GB 27 Dal 6

Dallas
QB: Tony Romo (OUT), Matt Cassel 2, 
RB: Darren McFadden 3, Robert Turbin 2
WR: Dez Bryant 3, Jason Witten 2, Terrance Williams 1, Cole Beasley 1
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
Green Bay
QB: Aaron Rodgers 4
RB: James Starks 2.5,  Eddie Lacy 2
WR: Randall Cobb 3, Davante Adams 2, James Jones 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

SUNDAY NIGHT
New England Patriots vs Houston Texans
Vegas: NE 26 Hou 20
Me: NE 24 Hou 17

New England

QB: Tom Brady 4
RB: Dion Lewis OUT, Legarette Blount 2.5, James White 2, Brandon Bolden 1
WR: Rob Gronkowski OUT, Julian Edleman OUT, Brandon Lafell 2, Danny Amendola 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Houston
QB: Brian Hoyer 2, 
RB: Arian Foster OUT, Alfred Blue 2, Jonathan Grimes 2, Chris Polk 1
WR: Deandre Hopkins 4, Cecil Shorts 1, Garret Graham 1, Nate Washington 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

*In the interest of time, Afternoon games will be updated later. Also... I'm only doing 23-20 scores, why bother with anything else? (Still Bitter)

SUNDAY MORNING
San Diego Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs
Vegas: KC 27 SD 16
Me: KC 27 SD 20

San Diego
QB: Philip Rivers 4
RB: Melvin Gordon 1.5, Danny Woodhead 1.5
WR: Keenen Allen OUT, Antonio Gates 3, Stevie Johnson 2, Ledarius Green 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Kansas City
QB: Alex Smith 3
RB: Charkandrick West OUT, Kniles Davis 2, Jamaal Charles OUT, Spencer Ware 2
WR: Jeremy Maclin 3, Travis Kelce 3, Albert Wilson 1, Jason Avant 1
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass

Detroit Lions vs St. Louis Rams
Vegas: Det 23 STL 20
Me: STL 23 Det 20

Detroit
QB: Matthew Stafford 2
RB: Ameer Abdullah 2, Joquie Bell 1, Theo Riddick 2
WR: Calvin Johnson 3, Golden Tate 1, Eric Ebron 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
St Louis
QB: Nick Foles 2
RB: Todd Gurley 4,Tre Mason, 2, Benny Cunningham 1
WR: Brian Quick 1, Lance Kendricks 1, Kenny Britt 2, Tavon Austin 2, Jared Cook 2
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass

Washington Redskins vs Chicago Bears
Vegas: Chi 23 Wash 19
Me: Chi 23 Wash 20

Washington
QB: Kirk Cousins 2
RB: Alfred Morris 1, Matt Jones 2, Chris Thompson 2
WR; Pierre Garcon 2, Jordan Reed 3, Derrick Karrier 2, Desean Jackson 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Chicago
QB: Jay Cutler 3
RB: Matt Forte 3, Jeremy Langford 2
WR: Alshon Jeffery 4, Martellus Bennet 2, Zach Miller 2, Marquis Wilson 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Vegas: Jax 24 Ind 22
Me: Jax 23 Indy 20

Jacksonville
QB: Blake Bortles 2
RB: TJ Yeldon 2, Denard Robinson 1, Toby Gerhart 1
WR: Allen Robinson 3, Allen Hurns 3, Julius Thomas 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Passing
Indianapolis
QB: Andrew Luck OUT,  Matt Hassleback 2
RB: Frank Gore 2, Josh Robinson 1
WR: TY Hilton 3, Andre Johnson 2, Donte Moncrief 2.5, Coby Fleener 1.5, Dwight Allen 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

San Francisco 49ers vs Cleveland Browns
Vegas: Cle 22 SF 20
Me: Cle 23 SF 20

San Fran
QB: Colin Kaepernick OUT, Blaine Gabbert 1
RB: Carlos Hyde OUT, Shaun Droughn 2.5
WR: Anquan Boldin 3, Torrey Smith 1
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
Cleveland
QB: Austin Davis 2, Jonny Manziel BENCH
RB: Isaiah Crowell 1, Duke Johnson 2
WR: Brian Hartline 1, Dwayne Bowe 1, Travis Benjamin 2, Gary Barnaige 3
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

New Orleans Saints Vs Tampa Bay Bucs
Vegas: TB 28 NO 22
Me: TB 43 NO 39

New Orleans
QB: Drew Brees 3, Luke McGown 
RB: Mark Ingram 3, CJ Spiller 1, 
WR: Brandin Cooks 2, Marques Colston 1, Brandon Coleman 1, Benjamin Watson 2, Willie Snead 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Tampa Bay
QB: Jameis Winston 2
RB: Doug Martin 3, Charles Sims 2
WR: Mike Evans 3, Vincent Jackson 2, Austin Safarian-Jackson 2, Adam Humphries 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers
Vegas: Car 26 Atl 19
Me: Car 23 Atl 20

Atlanta
QB: Matt Ryan 3
RB: Tevin Coleman 1, Davonte Coleman 3
WR: Julio Jones 4, Roddy White 1, Leanord Hankerson 2, Jacob Tamme 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Carolina
QB: Cam Newton 3
RB: Jonathan Stewart 3
WR: Greg Olsen 3, Ted Ginn Jr. 2, Corey Brown 1, Devin Funchess 1
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass

Seattle Seahawks vs Baltimore Ravens
Vegas: Sea 26 Balt 16
Me: Sea 31 Balt 17

Seattle
QB: Russel Wilson 3
RB: Marshawn Lynch OUT, Fred Jackson 1, Thomas Rawls 3
WR: Jimmy Graham 2.5, Tyler Lockett 1, Doug Baldwin 1, Jevon Kearse 2, Luke Wilson 2
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
Baltimore
QB: Joe Flacco OUT, Matt Schaub OUT, Jimmy Clausen 1
RB: Justin Forsett OUT, Buck Allen 3
WR: Steve Smith OUT, Crocket Gilmore 2, Kamar Aiken 2, Chris Givens 1
Attempt: Pass
Yard: Pass

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles
Vegas: Phi 25 Buf 23
Me: Buf 23 Phi 20

Buffalo
QB: Tyrod Taylor 3, EJ Manual 1
RB: Lesean McCoy 3.5, Karlos Williams 2
WR: Sammy Watkins 3, Charles Clay 1.5, Robert Woods 1.5
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
Philadelphia
QB: Sam Bradford 2, Mark Sanchez 2
RB: Demarcco Murray 2 (Injured, may not play), Ryan Mathews 2, Darren Sproles 2
WR: Jordan Matthews 2, Nelson Algholor 1, Riley Cooper 1, Zach Ertz 2
Attempts Pass
Yards: Pass

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets
Vegas: NYJ 26 Tenn 18
Me: NYJ 27 Tenn 13

Tennessee
QB: Marcus Mariota 2
RB: Bishop Sankey 1, Antonio Andrews 2, David Cobb 1
WR: Kendall Wright OUT, Delanie Walker 3, Harry Douglas 1, Nate Washington 2
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
New York Jets
QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick 3
RB: Chris Ivory 3, Blail Powell 1
WR: Brandon Marshall 3, Eric Decker 3
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals
Vegas: Cin 25 Pitt 24
Me: Cin 23 Pitt 20

Cincinnati
QB: Andy Dalton 3
RB: Jeremy Hill 2.5, Giovanni Bernard 2.5
WR: AJ Green 4, Tyler Eifert OUT, Marvin Jones 2, Muhammud Sanu 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Pittsburgh
QB: Ben Roelithsberger 3, Landry Jones 1
RB: Leveon Bell OUT, Deangelo Williams 3
WR: Antonio Brown 4, Heath Miller 2, Markus Wheaton 1, Martavis Bryant 3
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass




MONDAY NIGHT

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals
Vegas: AZ 33 Minn 13
Me: AZ 27 Minn 13 (or 31-13)
Alt: AZ 23 Minn 20

How I came up with my score this week. Honestly, most weeks I kind of just guess. I stick close to 23-20 because that is the most common score in the NFL (About 2% of games end up w/ this score.) This week, I tried something different. The Cardinals average 33 points a game, and their defense allows teams about 19 points a game. The Vikings average 19.8 on offense and allow 19.2 on defense. But Minnesota has some injuries and haven't gotten over 20 points in 3 weeks. This is a long way of saying that I guessed this week, but I looked up some numbers to make you feel better about my guess. Enjoy!


Arizona
QB: Carson Palmer 4
RB: Chris Johnson OUT, Andre Ellington 2, David Johnson 2.5
WR: Larry Fitzgerald 3, John Brown 3, Michael Floyd 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Minnesota
QB: Teddy Bridgewater 2
RB: Adrain Peterson 4
WR: Stefan Diggs 2, Mike Wallace 1, Charles Johnson 1, Kyle Rudolph 2
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass

2 comments:

  1. Wow. As you posited 23 - 20. You unto something there Boss !

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks for the perfect score last week! Now if only there was something to redeem all these points for.....🙄

    ReplyDelete