Thursday, November 19, 2015

Vigoal/MyGuy Football Help Week 11 (Twitter @HuuMyGuy)

Here is the Sunday/Monday prediction report. Most scores are based off Bleacher Report and Las Vegas projections and I list the top players QB (for passing questions) RB (for rushing questions) and WR (for receiving questions). I try to update this as the day goes along.
  • I answer "NO" to the 2-pt conversion and missed FG question. These are events that are least likely to happen. 
  • Most times I answer "NO" to the interception question even though this is an event that is more 50-50. 
  • I will most likely choose that a team will have more PASSING YARDS because passing plays are usually longer than rushing plays.
  • If a player has an asterisk (*) next to their name, they are somewhat injured. So injured that it may affect their ability and they might not play the whole game
  • The number next to the player's names are ranks. 4=Excellent choice 3=Very Good Choice 2=Okay Choice 1=So you're saying there's a chance.
  • If you're viewing this through @ViggleTips, you may want to check back later for the afternoon and night games. I usually start with the morning and update my predictions and players as it gets closer to game time. I will tweet out updates @HuuMyGuy on twitter. 
  • NEW!!! According to SportingCharts. The most popular score between 2002-2011 was 23-20. Second was 20-17 and third was 24-17. Most my predictions will be in this area. (Interestingly, we had TWO 23-20 in week 8, I even predicted the right game, but inverted the scores)

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills
Vegas: NE 28 Buf 21
Me: NE 27 Buf 17

Buffalo
QB: Tyrod Taylor 3, EJ Manual 1
RB: Lesean Mccoy 3, Karlos Williams 2.5, 
WR: Sammy Watkins 2, Charles Clay 2, Chris Hogan 2, Robert Woods 1.5
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
New England
QB: Tom Brady 4
RB: Dion Lewis OUT, Legarette Blount 2.5, James White 1, Brandon Bolden 1
WR: Rob Gronkowski 4, Julian Edleman OUT, Brandon Lafell 2, Danny Amendola 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

MYGUY:
If you're looking just to score enough points to get the lowest tier, I'd go with Brady and Gronkowski.
If you're willing to risk getting a 0 but possibly hit the highest mark (Gronkowski and one of Amendola/Watkins/Clay)

Washington Redskins vs Carolina Panthers
Vegas: Car 26 Wash 18
Me: Car 27 Wash 13
Carolina
QB: Cam Newton 3
RB: Jonathan Stewart 3
WR: Greg Olsen 3, Ted Ginn Jr. 2, Corey Brown 1, Devin Funchess 1
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
Washington
QB: Kirk Cousins 2
RB: Alfred Morris 1, Matt Jones 2, Chris Thompson 2
WR; Pierre Garcon 3, Jordan Reed 2, Derrick Karrier 2, Desean Jackson 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

Oakland Raiders vs Detroit Lions
Vegas: Det 25 Oak 24
Me: Det 23 Oak 20
Oakland
QB: Derek Carr 2
RB: Latavius Murray 2
WR: Amari Cooper 3, Michael Crabtree 2, Michal Rivera 1
Attempts: Pass
Yard: Pass
Detroit
QB: Matthew Stafford 2
RB: Ameer Abdullah 2, Joquie Bell 1, Theo Riddick 1
WR: Calvin Johnson 3, Golden Tate 1, Eric Ebron 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

Dallas Cowboys vs Miami Dolphins
Vegas: Dal 24 Mia 21
Me: Dal 23 Mia 20
Dallas
QB: Tony Romo (OUT), Matt Cassel 2, Brandon Weeden 1
RB: Darren McFadden 3, Christine Michael 2
WR: Dez Bryant 3.5, Jason Witten 3, Terrance Williams 2, Cole Beasley 1
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
Miami
QB: Ryan Tannehill 3
RB: Lamar Miller 3, Damian Williams 1
WR: Jarvis Landry 3, Davante Parker 2, Greg Jennings 1, Kenny Stills 2, Jordan Cameron 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

Indianpolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons
Vegas: Atl 27 Ind 22
Me: Atl 24 Ind 17
Indianapolis
QB: Andrew Luck OUT,  Matt Hassleback 2
RB: Frank Gore 2, Josh Robinson 1
WR: TY Hilton 3, Andre Johnson 2, Donte Moncrief 2.5, Coby Fleener 1.5, Dwight Allen 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Atlanta
QB: Matt Ryan 3
RB: Tevin Coleman 1, Davonte Coleman 4
WR: Julio Jones 4, Roddy White 1, Leanord Hankerson OUT, Jacob Tamme 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

St Louis Rams vs Baltimore Ravens
Vegas: Balt 22 STL 19
Me: STL 23 Balt 20
St Louis
QB: Nick Foles 2
RB: Todd Gurley 4,Tre Mason, 2, Benny Cunningham 1
WR: Brian Quick 1, Lance Kendricks 1, Kenny Britt 2, Tavon Austin 2, Jared Cook 2
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
Baltimore
QB: Joe Flacco 3
RB: Justin Forsett 3, Buck Allen 1
WR: Steve Smith OUT, Crocket Gilmore 2, Kamar Aiken 2, Chris Givens 1
Attempt: Pass
Yard: Pass

NY Jets vs Houston Texans
Vegas: NYJ 22 Hou 18
Me: NYJ 23 Hou 20
NY Jets
QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick 2.5
RB: Chris Ivory 3, Blair Powell 1
WR: Brandon Marshall 4, Eric Decker 2
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
Houston
QB: Brian Hoyer 2, Ryan Mallet 1
RB: Arian Foster OUT, Alfred Blue 2, Jonathan Grimes 1, Chris Polk 2
WR: Deandre Hopkins 4, Cecil Shorts 1, Garret Graham 1, Nate Washington 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles
Vegas: Phi 26 TB 19
Me: TB 23 Phi 20
Tampa Bay
QB: Jameis Winston 2
RB: Doug Martin 3, Charles Sims 2
WR: Mike Evans 3, Vincent Jackson 2, Austin Safarian-Jackson Out, Adam Humphries 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Philadelphia
QB: Sam Bradford OUT, Mark Sanchez 2
RB: Demarcco Murray 3, Ryan Mathews OUT, Darren Sproles 2
WR: Jordan Matthews 3, Nelson Algholor 1, Riley Cooper 1, Zach Ertz 3
Attempts Pass
Yards: Pass

Denver Broncos vs Chicago Bulls
Vegas: Den 24 Chi 20
Me: Chi 23 Den 20
Denver
QB: Peyton Manning 3
RB: CJ Anderson 2, Ronnie Hillman 2.5
WR: Demaryius Thomas 4, Emmanuel Sanders OUT,  Owen Daniels 3, Cody Latimer 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Chicago 
QB: Jay Cutler 3, Jimmy Clausen 1
RB: Matt Forte OUT, Jeremy Langford 3
WR: Eddie Royal 1, Martellus Bennet 2, Alshon Jeffrey OUT, Marquess Wilson 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers
Vegas: KC 24 SD 21
Me: SD 23 KC 20
Kansas City
QB: Alex Smith 3
RB: Charkandrick West 2, Kniles Davis 2, Jamaal Charles OUT
WR: Jeremy Maclin 3, Travis Kelce 3, Albert Wilson 1, Jason Avant 1
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
San Diego
QB: Philip Rivers 4
RB: Melvin Gordon 1.5, Danny Woodhead 1.5
WR: Keenen Allen OUT, Antonio Gates 3, Stevie Johnson 2, Ledarius Green 2, Malcom Floyd 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

San Francisco vs Seattle Seahawks
Vegas: Sea 27 SF 13
Me: Sea 28 SF 10
Seattle
QB: Russel Wilson 3
RB: Marshawn Lynch 3, Fred Jackson 1, Thomas Rawls 2
WR: Jimmy Graham 3, Tyler Lockett 1, Doug Baldwin 1
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
San Fran
QB: Colin Kaepernick OUT, Blaine Gabbert 1
RB: Carlos Hyde OUT, Shaun Droughn 1
WR: Anquan Boldin 3, Torrey Smith 1
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings
Vegas: GB 22 Minn 22
Me: GB 23 Minn 20
Green Bay
QB: Aaron Rodgers 4
RB: Eddy Lacy OUT, James Starks 3
WR: Randall Cobb 3, Davante Adams 2, James Jones 2, Richard Rodgers 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Minnesota
QB: Teddy Bridgewater 2
RB: Adrain Peterson 4
WR: Stefan Diggs 3, Mike Wallace 1, Charles Johnson 1, Kyle Rudolph 2
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Falcons
Vegas: AZ 27 Cinn 21
Arizona
QB: Carson Palmer 4
RB: Chris Johnson 2, Andre Ellington 2, David Johnson 1
WR: Larry Fitzgerald 3, John Brown OUT?, Michael Floyd OUT?, Jaron Brown 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass
Cincinnati
QB: Andy Dalton 3
RB: Jeremy Hill 2.5, Giovanni Bernard 2.5
WR: AJ Green 4, Tyler Eifert 3, Marvin Jones 1, Muhammud Sanu 1
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Pass

Thursday Night Football
Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Vegas: Jax 23 Ten 20
Me: Jax 23 Ten 20
Alt: Jax 24 Ten 17

Jacksonville
QB: Blake Bortles 2
RB: TY Yeldon 2, Denard Robinson 1, Toby Gerhart 1
WR: Allen Robinson 3, Allen Hurns 3, Julius Thomas 2
Attempts: Pass
Yards: Passing
Tennessee
QB: Marcus Mariota 2
RB: Bishop Sankey 1, Antonio Andrews 2, David Cobb 1
WR: Kendall Wright OUT, Delanie Walker 3, Harry Douglas 1, Nate Washington 2
Attempts: Rush
Yards: Pass
MyGuy: Hurns, Robinson or Walker. (These are WRs, so they are unlikely to get negative plays, but they are also unlikely to get good streaks. If you get a TD, you'll get +25 probably)

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