Wednesday, October 1, 2014

NFL Vigoal/MyGuy Week 5

Here is the Sunday/Monday prediction report. Most scores are based off Bleacher Report and Las Vegas projections and I list the top players QB (for passing questions) RB (for rushing questions) and WR (for receiving questions). If I feel strongly about a player, I will bold and RED them.
  • I answer "NO" to the 2-pt conversion and missed FG question. These are events that are least likely to happen. 
  • Most times I answer "NO" to the interception question even though this is an event that is more 50-50. 
  • I will most likely choose that a team will have more PASSING YARDS because passing plays are usually longer than rushing plays.
  • If a player has an asterisk (*) next to their name, they are somewhat injured. So injured that it may affect their ability and they might not play the whole game.

Washington vs Seattle

BR: Seattle 31 Washington 21
Vegas: Seattle 26 Washington 19
Me: Seattle 24 Washington 20

Seattle Seahawks
QB: Russel Wilson
RB: Marshawn Lynch
WR: Percy Harvin, Doug Baldwin
Washington Redskins
QB: Kirk Cousins
RB: Alfred Morris
WR: Pierre Garcon, DeSean Jackson
-- So Washington got TROUNCED last game.... Seattle has an amazing defense. But you know what? I'm like 50/50 in picking the Washington Professional Football Team over the Seattle Seahawks tonight. Why? Because, for some reason, prime time games tend to be different than what we expect most times. (i.e New England last night, Kansas City last Monday) I don't have the courage to pick Washington, but I will say that it will be closer than people think. (Now watch Seattle win 45-0). But Sticking to my guns. I like Wilson, a little better than Cousins. Lynch better than Morris. Garcon, Harvin, Jackson in that order. Both teams will probably Rush more than pass (attempts). Seattle I can see rack up more Rush Yards than Pass Yards some quarters. Washington will probably get more Pass yards than Rush yards most of the game. But if you're feeling lucky..... Washington.

Cincinnati vs New England

BR: Cincinnati 28 New England 16
Vegas: Cincy 23 New England 23 (Vegas thinks the game will be very close)
Me: New England 24 Cincinnati 23

Cincinnati Bengals
QB: Andy Dalton
RB: Giovanni Bernard
WR: AJ Green, Muhammud Sanu
New England Patriots
QB: Tom Brady
RB: Shane Vereen, Steven Ridley
WR: Julian Edelman, Aaron Dobson, Brandon Lafell

-- Patriots looked awful last week...so that's why I think they'll win this week. Can't hold Coach Bill and Tom Terrific down too long. I like Dalton better than Brady. I don't like any Patriot for rushing. And Green is better than Edelman. Both teams with more rushing attempts and more passing yards.

Arizona vs Denver

BR: Denver 23 Arizona 17
Vegas: Denver 27 Arizona 21
Me: Denver 34 Arizona 24

Denver Broncos
QB: Peyton Manning
RB: Montee Ball
WR: Demaryius Thomas, Emmaunel Sanders, Wes Welker
Arizona Cardinals
QB: Drew Stanton
RB: Andre Ellington
WR: Michael Floyd, Larry Fitzgerlad

-- Both teams coming off byes. I think both teams will pass more than rush.

NY Jets vs San Diego

BR: SD 27 NYJ 17
Vegas: San Diego 25 NY Jets 19
Me: SD 27 NYJ 20

NY Jets
QB: Geno Smith, Michael Vick
RB: Chris Ivory, Chris Johnson
WR: Jeremy Kerley
San Diego Chargers
QB: Philip Rivers
RB: Donald Brown
WR: Keenen Allen, Malcom Floyd, Eddie Royal

-- Geno Smith may not play the whole game. San Diego Chargers should pass more and get more passing yards. Jets will rush more, and go more rushing yards.

Kansas City vs San Francisco

BR: San Fran 24 KC 13
Vegas: SF 24 KC 20
Me: KC 27 SF 21

Kansas City Chiefs
QB: Alex Smith
RB: Jamaal Charles, Kniles Davis
WR: Dwayne Bowe
San Francisco 49ers
QB: Colin Kaepernick
RB: Frank Gore, Carlos Hyde
WR: Michael Crabtree, Anquan Boldin, Stevie Johnson

-- This will be a good game... I'm going with my gut and picking the Chiefs to win. I think both teams will do a lot of rushing. I like Alex Smith better than Kaepernick and Charles better than Gore. I like Crabtree, Bowe, Boldin, in that order.

Chicago vs Carolina

Bleacher Report: Chicago 23 Carolina 20
Vegas: Carolina 24 Chicago 21
Me: Carolina 34 Chicago 24

Chicago
QB: Jay Cutler
RB: Matt Forte
WR: Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffrey
Carolina
QB: Cam Newton
RB: Darrin Reeves
WR: Kelvin Benjamin
-- These defenses are not very impressive. I expect a high scoring game. Both teams try to RUSH (attempts) more than pass, but I expect more PASSING YARDS than rushing yards. I like Cam a little better than Cutler. Matt Forte should be the better running back. I like Marshall, Benjamin than Jeffrey for WR questions.

Baltimore vs Indianapolis

BR: Baltimore 30 Indianopolis 27
Vegas: Baltimore 23 Indianpolis 26
Me: Balt 24 Indianapolis 30

Baltimore Ravens
QB: Joe Flacco
RB: Justin Forsett, Bernard Pierce*, Lorenzo Taliaferro
WR: Steve Smith, Torry Smith
Indianapolis Colts
QB: Andrew Luck
RB: Ahmad Bradshaw, Trent Richardson
WR: Reggie Wayne, TY Hilton, Hakeen Nicks
-- Baltimore Rushes more than Passes (attempts), Colts Pass more. Both should get more PASSING yards. I like Luck better than Flacco. Don't like any of the Ravens Running backs, and I like Steve Smith better than Reggie Wayne.

Houston vs Dallas 

BR: Dallas 24 Houston 20
Vegas: Dallas 27 Houston 20
Me: Dallas 30 Houston 24

Houston Texans:
QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick
RB: Arian Foster*, Alfred Blue
WR: Deandre Hopkins, Andre Johnson
Dallas Cowboys:
QB: Tony Romo
RB: Demarco Murray
WR: Dez Bryant, Terrance Williams
-- Foster might be hurt. Both teams rush more than pass (attempts). I expect the yardage to be even. Murray is better than Foster, Dez better than Hopkins.

Buffalo vs Detroit

BR: Detroit 24 Buffalo 6
Vegas: Detroit 25 Buffalo 18
Me: Detroit 23 Buffalo 10

Buffalo Bills
QB: Kyle Orton
RB: Fred Jackson, CJ Spiller
WR: Sammy Watkins, Robert Woods, Mike Williams
Detroit Lions
QB: Matthew Stafford
RB: Reggie Bush, George Wynn
WR: Calvin Johnson*, Golden Tate
-- These two defenses are pretty good. I don't expect much offense. More rushing attempts, more passing yards for Lions. More rush attempts and yards for the Bills. If Calvin Johnson is really hurt go with Golden Tate. Stafford over Orton.

Pittsburgh vs Jacksonville

BR: Pittsburgh 37 Jacksonville 17
Vegas: Pitt 26 Jax 20
Me: Pitt 30 Jacksonville 20

Pittsburgh Steelers
QB: Ben Roelisthberger
RB: Leveon Bell, Legarette Blount
WR: Antonio Brown, Markus Wheaton
Jacksonville Jaguars
QB: Blake Bortles
RB: Toby Gerhart
WR: Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns
-- Jacksonville is a bad team. Steelers should win easily (even though their defense is not good). Choose more rush attempts and pass yards for both teams.

Tampa Bay vs New Orleans

BR: New Orleans 38 Tampa Bay 13
Vegas New Orleans 29 Tampa Bay 19
Me: NO 31 TB 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
QB: Mike Glennon
RB: Doug Martin, Bobby Rainey
WR: Vincent Jackson
New Orleans Saints
QB: Drew Brees
RB: Khiry Robinson, Pierre Thomas
WR: Marques Colston, Brandin Cooks
-- Both defenses are bad. Drew Brees and the Saints offense should be good because they are at home. Bucs will run the ball more than pass (attempts). Saints pick more pass attempts and pass yards.

Atlanta vs NY Giants

BR: Atlanta 28 Giants 20
Vegas: Atlanta 23 Giants 27
Me: Atlanta 24 Giants 31

Atlanta Falcons
QB: Matt Ryan
RB: Steven Jackson, Antoine Smith
WR: Julio Jones, Roddy White
NY Giants
QB: Eli Manning
RB: Rashad Jennings
WR: Victor Cruz, Rueben Randle

-- I hate picking the Giants to win. I think the Giants will try to run the ball more. Both teams pass for a bunch of yards. Giants will run more than the Falcons.

Cleveland vs Tennessee

BR: Cleveland 26 Tennessee 17
Vegas: Cleveland 22 Tennessee 23
Me: Cleveland 24 Tennessee 21

Cleveland Browns
QB: Brain Hoyer, Jonny Manziel
RB: Ben Tate, Terrance West, Isiah Crowell
WR: Andrew Hawkins (yards)
Tennessee Titans
QB: Jake Locker
RB: Shone Green, Bishop Sankey?
WR: Kendall Wright, Justin Hunter

-- Wow..... NONE of these offensive guys are that great. Bishop Sankey if he gets the playing time will be good. Ben Tate is a little hurt but he might be good too. Both teams, choose Rushing Attempts and Passing Yards. I think Locker is barely better than Hoyer.....

St. Louis vs Philadelphia

BR: Philadelphia 31 St. Louis 23
Vegas: St Louis 21 Philadelphia 27
Me: Philly 30 STL 21

St. Louis Rams
QB: Austin Davis, Shaun Hill
RB: Zac Stacy, Benjamin Cunningham
WR: Brian Quick, Tavon Austin
Philadelphia Eagles
QB: Nick Foles
RB: Lesean McCoy, Darrin Sproles
WR: Jeremy Maclin, Jordan Matthes

-- The Eagles should win... I think. St. Louis isn't awful, they're just not good. I would choose both teams Passing Attemps and Passing Yards. I Like Mccoy, Stacy, Sproles to begin with in rushing categories. Maclin, Quick than Matthews for receiving categories.


Minnesota vs Green Bay
Bleacher Report: Green Bay 34 Vikings 13
Vegas: GB 28 Minn 19
Me: Packers 35 Vikings 16

Minnesota
QB: Christian Ponder, Teddy Bridgewater* (IS OUT for the game)
RB: Matt Asiata
WR: Cordelle Patterson, Greg Jennings
Packers
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB: Eddie Lacy
WR: Jordy Nelson (yards), Randall Cobb (TDs)

-- Thursday games are kind of icky. I expect both teams to do better at running than passing. However, the Packers are a PASS HEAVY team. I expect the Packers to do very well against this team. I know I picked against the Vikings last week, but the Packers are at home and they are VERY good offensively. Which is why the Pack are all bolded.


No comments:

Post a Comment