Friday, May 30, 2014

MyGuy Miyagi: Why Lebron Why? 5/30/2014


Now to the the MyGuy stuff:  New to MyGuy? Check out our tips and guideline section Here.

My twitter is @HuuMyGuy. I will tweet out who I have in at the start of quarters, if any of the main stars go to the bench and if I make changes during the game. I also have this chat room for us to converse about the game in.

It's follow Friday! I can't always tweet about the game, but follow these peeps on twitter! We have engaging NBA discussions and the more people you know the more advice that can be given.

@KristenKKCook
@cdawn1962
@NCB116


Let's do it...to it! 


Heat at Pacers (8:30ET ESPN) 

Pacers
Paul George (Points B, Rebounds B-, Assists C+, Steals B-, Blocks C+)
Good Hibbert (Pts: B-, Rebs: A, Blks A) 
Bad Hibbert (Pts: D-, Rebs: F, Blks C-, Playing Time: D)
West (Pts B, Rebs B-, Blks C-)
Stephenson (B-, Rebs B, Asts B, Streak: B)

Heat
***James (Points A, Rebounds B, Assists B, Blocks B-, Steals B-, Free Throw % B, Streak A-)***
Bosh (Pts B, Rebs B+, Blks B, FT% B, Streak B)
Wade (Pts B-, Rebs C, Asts B-. FT% B-, Streak B-)

Protect Your Points Player (When you hit 150 in a quarter): Bynum (Pacers)  What is the PYP Player?

7 points, 4 assists, 2 rebounds, 2-10 shooting, 5 fouls..... LEBRON JAMES EVERYONE! And now...we have a bad MyGuy taste in our mouth. I can't believe I have to do this...but I am going to try and CONVINCE you that Lebron James is STILL the right pick. 

May 11, 2010
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics Game 5 Conf. Semis
Lebron James...did not play well this game
15 pts, 3-14 shooting (11 MISSED SHOTS!) 3 turnovers....MyGuy wasn't around then, don't think Lebron would have gotten +250 in any quarter by himself. What happened THE VERY NEXT GAME? This was also a game 5 in the conference finals.

May 13, 2010
Game 6
The nine turnovers aside, did much better. He hit threes, his shooting percentage was better. Along with 27 points, he had 10 assists and 19 (19!) rebounds!

June 7, 2011
Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Finals Game 4
The very next year, Lebron took his talents to South Beach. The Heat were in the Finals and James did this:
Woof. 8 pts, 3-11 shooting (he only took 11 shots?), a respectable 9 rebs and 7 asts. Another playoff stinker. He followed this one up with...
June 9, 2011 Game 5

This game doesn't blow you away or anything. But he was 8-19 (shooting percentage went up again), he grabbed 10 rebs and 10 asts, so he was doing more than just scoring. 

By the way...Lebron lost both those series. (He doesn't always win apparently.)

So let's go back to May 28. 
The biggest stat that stands out isn't the 7 points. It's the 24 minutes played. Lebron James averages over 40 minutes a game. The reason for this bad game is he had 5 personal fouls. James VERY RARELY gets into foul trouble. What this means is he was close to fouling out most of the game (6 fouls and you're out the rest of the game). It makes him less aggressive on defense and offense, and NBA players like to play more minutes, they get into a rhythm and they score and do other things more easily. 

I haven't had a stats class in a while so I'm hoping I explain this correctly. The top of the curve is the "normal distribution." This is where the events you think will happen on a regular basis fall. Lebron will have good games more often than not; the parts at the end are outliers. Those are rare instances that you don't expect or predict to happen. Game 5, was definitely an outlier. 



Tier 1- Lebron James (My Pick, yup, with no doubt in my mind)
Lebron is a Superstar....Superstars RARELY have two bad games in a row; actually, Lebron is a Superduper Mega Star! I think he WILL score 150 every quarter BY HIMSELF (as long as he plays the majority of the game). Great players like James tend to come back with a vengeance after bad performances. Maybe it's extra motivation, maybe it's extra rest, maybe the refs give him more leeway and call less fouls on him or a combination of all of the above.

I'm that confident in his abilities. I'm sticking with him as long as he is in for the most part. I think the Heat will win this, and to win, they'll most likely go through James. I don't have a bad taste from last game at all. I do remember how easy Game 4 of this series was. It was because James did this:

That was earlier this week. James will be fine. If you don't believe me. Watch this:


Tier 2- Chris Bosh, Paul George, Lance Stephenson, Good Hibbert, Dwyane Wade 
  • Stephenson- He will NOT be blowing in Lebron's ear.
  • Bosh- He'll be okay, but he won't be James.
  • Good Hibbert- He'll be okay, but he won't be James.
  • Wade- He'll be okay, but he won't be James.
  • George- He'll be okay, but he won't be James. He did have a great last quarter though. But he hasn't done it as consistently as....... Lebron James.

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